It’s a remarkable statistic. There are approximately 5.3 billion humans over the age of 15 on the planet. But apparently, five billion of them have cellular phones of some description, with four billion being
Closer to home, even older people who a few years ago swore they didn’t need a phone and would never buy one are now some of the most dedicated converts. But five billion, really?
I got this amazing statistic from an article by Benedict Evans, who has been writing incisively about technology for many years.
Evans interprets the implication of this near saturation by technology:
There’s an old joke that the career of an analyst progresses from Word to Excel to Powerpoint. That’s pretty much what’s happened here over the last 20 years: first we discussed what might happen (“imagine if everyone had a phone!”), then we tracked the numbers of what was happening, and finally we draw diagrams and bullet points of what that means. That’s where we are now – we try to work out what it means that almost everyone has a phone or a smartphone.
Benedict says that he not going upgrade his smartphone any more: “The next fundamental trends in tech, today, are probably machine learning, crypto and regulation. I can write about those, but it’s too early to make charts.”
Can you believe this?